Ammunition Market’s Opportunities And Challenge

Ammunition Market by Application (Defense, Civil & Commercial), Caliber (Small, Medium, Large), Product (Bullets, Aerial Bombs, Grenades, Artillery Shells, Mortars), Component, Guidance, Lethality, Region – Global Forecast to 2025

The Ammunition market is projected to grow from USD 25.94 billion in 2019 to USD 32.31 billion by 2025, at a CAGR of 3.73% from 2019 to 2025.

Increased demand for advanced medium and large caliber ammunition from emerging economies

The rising hostility within and between countries of the Middle East, Asia Pacific, and Africa has led these countries to enhance their military capabilities. Some of the leading economies of these regions such as China, South Korea, India, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE have been investing increasingly for the procurement of advanced medium and large caliber ammunition, along with the development of innovative warfare equipment. Factors such as the alleged degradation of the relationship of North Korea with its neighboring countries, assertive nature of China in its territorial ambitions, which is a major player in the Asia Pacific region, and rise in the incidences of intrastate and interstate conflicts in Syria and other parts of the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia are leading toward increased demand for advanced medium and large caliber ammunition. This, in turn, is expected to act as an opportunity for the growth of the ammunition market during the forecast period.

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Proliferation of illicitly manufactured ammunition leading to restrictions from various international organizations

Proliferation of illicitly manufactured ammunition is a major issue that threatens the security of various countries across the globe. It involves manufacturing or assembling of ammunition, explosives, and other related materials from components that are either illicitly trafficked or do not have marking from government authorities. Thus, this illicitly manufactured ammunition is transferred and smuggled across the international borders. Weak inventory surveillance and reporting mechanism are responsible for the smuggling of ammunition across borders. For instance, in the India-Pakistan sub-region, there are certain establishments that manufacture illicit ammunition, which are then transferred across the borders to neighboring countries, thereby resulting in increased incidences of terrorism and gun violence.

 The Arms Trade Treaty (ATT) is a multilateral treaty ratified by 91 countries across the globe, which came into effect on December 24, 2014. It is one of the measures taken by the United Nations Security Council to regulate international trade of small arms, ammunition, and other weapons. The inclusion of ammunition in this treaty prohibits their sale across international borders if their transfer violates measures adopted by the United Nations Security Council to control terrorism and gun violence. Thus, illicit transfer and sale of ammunition is leading to sanctions and restrictions on the ammunition market, thereby acting as a major challenge for ammunition manufacturers.

Geopolitical tensions, territorial conflicts, and political unrest in various countries of the Middle East and Asia Pacific regions

Growing instances of armed conflicts between different countries across the globe, owing to rising political instabilities, economic inequalities, and geopolitical tensions are leading to the growth of the ammunition market. Territorial conflicts, wherein two or more countries fight over a limited territory, are also responsible for ceasefire violations, wars, and terrorism across borders. Some of the infamous territorial conflicts include disputes between China and Japan over the East China Sea; India and Pakistan over Kashmir; and Israel and Palestine over the Gaza Strip, among others.

Formulation and stringent implementation of gun control legislation

High-income economies such as the US, France, and the UK face enormous firearm problems due to high rates of homicides and firearm-related suicides. Though there is no direct cause-and-effect relationship between guns per person and firearm homicides rate but the US, which owned approximately 121 firearms per 100 persons in 2017, has the highest firearm-related homicides rate among all developed nations.

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