From 2008 to 2015, the U.S. flour market showed mixed dynamics. A significant increase in 2011 was followed by a gradual decline over the next five years. According to our estimates, the U.S. flour market dropped to 14.78 million USD in 2015.
U.S. growth in flour consumption is expected to slow to +2.3% (currently +2.6%, based on USD) in the medium term. The market will continue to be mainly driven by the expansion of downstream industries, while per capita consumption of households should remain relatively stable.
Downstream industries, including bread, cookie, cracker, tortilla, and pasta production, have experienced a rebound from their recessionary slumps, boosting demand for flour over the past years. From 2008 to 2015, all these industries posted solid growth in production. The growth rate of tortilla manufacturing was especially fast (+6.0% per year). It was followed by dry pasta, dough, and flour mixes manufacturing (+4.3% per year), commercial bakery (+2.8% per year), frozen cakes, pies, and other pastries manufacturing (+2.0% per year), and cookie and cracker manufacturing (+0.8%).
In 2011, U.S. flour manufacturers outperformed the pre-recession production level after a slight decline in 2008-2010. Over the next few years, domestic producers suffered from a downward trend. In 2015, the value of shipments in the industry was estimated at 15,196 million USD.
Due to low trade intensity, imports and exports should not be regarded as strong factors influencing U.S. market dynamics in the medium term.
Canada and China were the main suppliers of flour into the U.S., with a combined 76% share of total U.S. imports in 2015. The fastest growing supplier from 2007 to 2015 was China (+79.8% per year). China significantly strengthened its position in the U.S. import structure, from 0% in 2007 to 24% in 2015. By contrast, Canada saw its share reduced to 20%.
In 2015, the main markets for U.S. flour exports were China (37%), Canada (20%), and Mexico (14%). The share exported to China increased (+37 percentage points), while the share sent to Mexico illustrated negative dynamics (-49 percentage points). The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.
Net U.S. exports of flour showed a negative trend before 2012. Over the next two years, the trade surplus posted solid gains. However, in 2015 the active trade balance dropped to 408 million USD, approximately 33% of gross exports.
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“U.S. Flour Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020” provides an in-depth analysis of the U.S. flour market. It presents the latest data of the market size and volume, domestic production, exports and imports, price dynamics and turnover in the industry. In addition, the report contains insightful information about the industry, including industry life cycle, business locations, productivity, employment and many other crucial aspects. The Company Profiles section contains relevant data on the major players in the industry.
Countries coverage: the U.S.
- Market size;
- Domestic production, value of shipments;
- Key market players and their profiles;
- Exports, imports and trade balance;
- Import and export prices;
- Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term;
- Key industry statistics;
- Life cycle of the industry;
- Number of establishments and their locations;
- Employment data;
- Industry productivity.
Product coverage: Wheat flour (excluding flour mixes), made in flour mills; Wheat mill products, excluding flour; Corn mill products; Prepared flour mixes, including refrigerated and frozen doughs and batters, made in flour mills; Other grain mill products; Flour milling, nsk, total
Companies mentioned: Grain Millers, The Pillsbury Company, C. H. Guenther & Son, Shawnee Milling Company, Bay State Milling Company, Bob’s Red Mill Natural Foods, Siemer Milling Company, Blendex Company, Chelsea Milling Company, Star of The West Milling Company, Post Foods, Hodgson Mill, Italgrani U.S.A., Giusto’s Specialty Foods, The Mennel Milling Company, Minsa Corporation, Grain Craft, J. R. Short Milling Company, Guttenplan’s Frozen Dough, King Milling Company, The Mennel Milling Co of Michigan, Ardent Mills, Spartan Foods of America, Knoxville Milling Company, The Morrison Milling Company, Pasteleria Cidrines, Sunopta Grains and Foods, Crestar Crusts, Riviana International, H. Nagel & Son Co
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1.1 REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2 REPORT STRUCTURE
1.3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2.1 KEY FINDINGS
2.2 MARKET TRENDS
3. MARKET OVERVIEW
3.1 MARKET VALUE
3.2 TRADE BALANCE
3.3 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES
3.4 MARKET FORECAST TO 2020
4. DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
4.1 PRODUCTION IN 2008-2015
4.2 PRODUCTION BY TYPE
4.3 PRODUCTION BY STATE
4.4 PRODUCER PRICES
5.1 IMPORTS IN 2007-2015
5.2 IMPORTS BY TYPE
5.3 IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
5.4 IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
6.1 EXPORTS IN 2007-2015
6.2 EXPORTS BY TYPE
6.3 EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
6.4 EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
7. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
7.1 INDUSTRY SNAPSHOTS
7.2 INDUSTRY LIFE CYCLE
7.3 BUSINESS LOCATIONS
7.5 ANNUAL PAYROLL
7.6 INDUSTRY PRODUCTIVITY
7.7 ESTABLISHMENT SIZE AND LEGAL FORM
8. COMPANY PROFILES